Different leader,
since the ballot.
States where today’s polling leader is not the party that won the latest state election.
Political landscape · 16 federal states
Today’s party ratings, state ballots and every Bundestag election since reunification — on one map.
| State | Polling leader | Latest rating | Last election winner | Next election |
|---|
| Party | Identity | States led | Mean rating | Strongest state | Last elections won |
|---|
Mean rating is the simple average of a party’s rating in states where it appears in the current polling data. It is not population-weighted and is not a national vote estimate.
States where today’s polling leader is not the party that won the latest state election.
The eight nearest official dates or expected election windows, with the current polling leader.
Party ratings are a simple average of each institute’s newest poll close to the most recent survey for that state. They are not a seat projection and carry the normal uncertainty of opinion polling.
Election shares are recalculated from official party vote totals, using the decisive party-list or second vote where applicable. Exact dates are marked as official; seasons are expected windows.